DUBAI: Parts of the UAE could see rain between Monday and Thursday, October 12–15, as temperatures remain high and changing cloud conditions bring the possibility of dusty winds and early-morning fog, according to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM).
The forecast points to localised showers rather than guaranteed rainfall across the country. Eastern areas are among the locations where afternoon cloud development could produce rain, with conditions varying between coastal, inland and mountainous regions.
Temperatures are forecast to reach 43°C in some inland areas on Monday, while coastal areas and islands could record highs of 40°C. Mountainous locations are expected to remain cooler, with temperatures reaching around 33°C.
Where could rain develop?
On Monday, October 12, the weather is expected to be generally fair to partly cloudy. Convective clouds could develop over eastern parts of the UAE during the afternoon and extend into some inland areas, creating a chance of rainfall.
Similar conditions are forecast for Tuesday, October 13, when clouds may form over eastern and western areas. The possibility of showers is expected to continue on Wednesday and Thursday, particularly where afternoon cloud development occurs over eastern and southern parts of the country.
The forecast does not mean that every emirate will receive rain. Local weather conditions can differ considerably, so residents should check the latest NCM updates for their particular area.
Dusty winds and fog could affect visibility
Winds are expected to remain generally light to moderate but could strengthen around developing clouds. On Monday, gusts could reach 45km/h in mountainous areas, 40km/h inland and 35km/h along the coast and islands, according to the forecast reported by Gulf News.
Stronger winds may lift dust and sand, potentially reducing visibility in exposed areas. Residents travelling through affected locations should monitor current conditions and follow official safety instructions.
Humidity is also expected to rise overnight and during the early morning in some areas. This could lead to fog or mist, particularly over western, coastal and inland locations at different points during the forecast period.
Fog is a possibility rather than a confirmed condition everywhere. Motorists should check for official alerts before travelling and allow extra time if visibility is reduced.
Temperatures remain high despite rain chances
The possibility of showers does not signal an end to the UAE’s hot weather. Inland temperatures could reach 43°C, while coastal areas and islands may record highs of around 40°C. Mountain regions are expected to experience lower temperatures.
The combination of daytime heat, humidity and localised cloud development means conditions may change over relatively short distances. Residents planning outdoor activities should check the forecast for their destination rather than relying only on the national outlook.
The Arabian Gulf and the Sea of Oman are forecast to remain slight during the period covered by the report.
The NCM’s outlook also points to a gradual easing of unsettled conditions on Friday, October 16, although cloud development may continue over some eastern and southern areas. Humidity could persist overnight, with fog or mist remaining possible into Saturday morning.
Residents should rely on the NCM for updated forecasts and any active weather warnings, as the location and timing of showers can change.
Q1. Will it rain in the UAE this week?
Rain is possible in parts of the UAE from October 12 to 15, 2026, particularly where convective clouds develop. Rainfall is not guaranteed across the entire country.
Q2. How hot will the UAE be on October 12?
Temperatures could reach 43°C in inland areas, 40°C along coastal areas and islands, and around 33°C in mountainous locations.
Q3. Which areas could receive rain?
Eastern areas are among the locations where afternoon showers may develop. The forecast also identifies possible cloud development over western, southern and inland areas on different days.
Q4. Will Dubai receive rain?
The forecast identifies a possibility of rain in parts of the UAE but does not establish that Dubai will receive rainfall. Residents should check the latest local forecast.
Q5. Will there be fog in the UAE?
Fog or mist is possible in some western, coastal and inland areas as humidity increases overnight and during the early morning.
Q6. How strong could UAE winds become?
Winds could reach 45km/h in mountainous areas on Monday, with lower maximum speeds forecast for inland and coastal locations. Stronger winds may raise dust.
Q7. Where can residents check official weather alerts?
Residents can check the National Centre of Meteorology’s official website: NCM.

